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twenty:57

Biden warns that Russia invasion "still very much a possibility"

Ukraine crisis: Biden warns Russian invasion 'notwithstanding very much a possibility' - video

During a speech updating on the Russia-Ukraine situation, Joe Biden warned that an invasion from Russia is "very much a possibility," simply that a diplomatic resolution was still possible.

Today, Biden warned that despite reports from Russia that some of its troops were returning to dwelling bases, analysis from the Us has not verified that and that Russian troops remain in a threatening position.

"An invasion remains distinctly possible," said Biden, once again announcing that Americans in Ukraine should leave now "earlier information technology is too belatedly to leave safely."

Lauren Gambino (@laurenegambino)

"An invasion remains distinctly possible," he said, calling on all Americans living in Ukraine to leave the country.

February 15, 2022

Biden as well confirmed that the US has engaged in "non-terminate affairs" to prevent a Russian invasion, saying "We should give diplomacy every risk to succeed."

Biden besides, over again, noted that NATO allies are united in opposition to an invasion and prepared to answer with consequences.

"The West is united and galvanised," said Biden, noting that Russia invading Ukraine would be a "cocky-inflicting wound."

"If Russia proceeds, we will rally the world to oppose its aggression," said Biden, confirming that export controls and other actions not pursued during the 2014 Russia-Crimea invasion will take identify if Ukraine is invaded.

Biden as well confirmed over again that Nord Stream 2 will non happen if Russia invades Ukraine.

Updated at 12.38am GMT

v.32am GMT 05:32

Thank you for reading the blog. This ane is closed now just yous tin follow all the developments at our new blog here:

five.05am GMT 05:05

Mainland china may take reward of Ukraine crisis, The states general says

Prc may take advantage of the Ukraine crunch and practise something "provocative" in Asia while western powers are focused on defusing tensions with Russia, a U.s.a. full general has warned.

General Kenneth Wilsbach, the head of US Pacific Air Forces, noted that China had aligned itself with Russia in the crisis, Agence France-Presse reports.

Wilsbach told reporters on the sidelines of the Singapore Airshow on Wednesday:

From the standpoint of will Mainland china run across what's happening in Europe and... try to practice something hither in the Indo-Pacific - absolutely yes, that's a concern.

I practise have my concerns that they would want to take reward.

Information technology won't be surprising if they tried something that may be provocative, and run across how the international community reacts."

Wilsbach said that when Beijing expressed support for Russia in the Ukraine standoff, he held talks with his staff and other "entities" in the region near its implications.

Based in Hawaii, Wilsbach'southward command would play a central role if conflict erupts in the Pacific though he did non go into specifics about what People's republic of china might do during the Ukraine crisis, saying only that there were "probably a number of options" for Beijing.

4.15am GMT 04:15

Commonwealth of australia's prime number minister Scott Morrison responded to Russia's claims it has pulled dorsum its military presence from Ukraine, describing the reports as "unconvincing and unconfirmed".

Morrison said cyber attacks on Ukraine ran counter to reports that Russia was about to appoint in a pullback.

The Australian Associated Press reports he told colleagues in parliament on Wednesday:

Russia must unconditionally withdraw.

If Russia attacks Ukraine, it will exist met with overwhelming international condemnation. The earth will non forget that Russian federation chose needless death and devastation."

Updated at four.18am GMT

iv.07am GMT 04:07

Tensions continue in the Donetsk region of eastern Ukraine as soldiers conduct out training exercises in training for a potential war.

Militants of the self-proclaimed Donetsk People's Democracy (DNR), seen pictured below, ready for battle on the line of separation from the Ukrainian armed forces about the rebel-controlled settlement of Staromykhailivka.

Ukrainian servicemen are also seen carrying out training exercises.

A Ukrainian serviceman carries an NLAW anti-tank weapon during an practice in the Joint Forces Operation, in the Donetsk region, eastern Ukraine. Photograph: Vadim Ghirdă/AP

A militant of the self-proclaimed Donetsk People's Democracy (DNR) holds a weapon near Staromykhailivka in Donetsk region of Ukraine. Photo: Alexander Ermochenko/Reuters

Updated at 4.07am GMT

iii.08am GMT 03:08

Nippon continues to watch the situation in Ukraine unfold with grave concern despite a Russian announcement of a partial pullback of armed forces, Japan'southward superlative government spokesperson said, as reported by Reuters.

Chief chiffonier secretary Hirokazu Matsuno told a news conference on Wednesday:

[US] President Biden has said the possibility of an invasion of Russian forces into Ukraine clearly remains.

The Japanese authorities sees that the situation remains unpredictable, and we will keep a shut eye on the situation with high alert and grave concern."

2.45am GMT 02:45

Russia's OSCE refusal shows "antipathy" for its commitments, Truss says

Russia's refusal to participate in the Organisation for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) talks demonstrates its contempt for the commitments it voluntarily signed, the U.k. foreign secretary has said.

Responding to Russia's failure to ship a representative to an OSCE meeting well-nigh its military build-up, Liz Truss issued a statement reading:

Russia is plainly failing to live upwardly to the international commitments it has made effectually transparency.

If the Kremlin is serious almost a diplomatic resolution, so it needs to bear witness up to diplomatic meetings and commit to meaningful talks. Russia'south refusal to engage with the OSCE process demonstrates its contempt for the commitments information technology freely signed up to.

It is Russia that is the assailant here. The troops stationed on the border are clear threat to Ukraine. The UK and our allies urge the Kremlin to withdraw its troops and enter discussions based on the proposals put forwards by NATO to improve transparency and reduce take a chance."

Liz Truss (@trussliz)

Russia is patently failing to live up to the international commitments it has fabricated effectually transparency.

Read my statement on Russia's refusal to appoint with the OSCE process. 👇 motion picture.twitter.com/40gDTy8Hzp

February fifteen, 2022

Updated at iii.00am GMT

ii.13am GMT 02:13

Hopes that Russia could be scaling back its armed services buildup on the border with Ukraine have boosted stocks in Asia at the start of Wednesday's trading day.

The Nikkei in Japan is upward nearly 2% afterward ii days of losses this week, while the Hang Seng is up more than than 1% and so is the Kospi in Seoul.

Another barometer of investor malaise – Brent crude oil – was down slightly at $92.85 as it continued to slide back from vii-year highs hitting on Monday. It's notwithstanding rallied $xx – or more than than xx% – since Baronial.

Liz Ann Sonders (@LizAnnSonders)

Brent rough #oil price has rallied ~$20 since Baronial, with surging demand contributing nigh $9 per @Economic science pic.twitter.com/QQP1szrhWd

Feb 15, 2022

2.11am GMT 02:11

Snaps from on the basis in Ukraine's well-nigh populous city of Kyiv in the due west of the country and Lviv in the north show life as normal for Ukraine citizens.

Many in the Ukrainian capital remain sceptical about an attack taking place, regardless of the exodus of diplomats.

Most locals are going about their lives as normal, Guardian correspondent Shaun Walker reports from Kyiv.

People walk along a street in central Lviv, Ukraine. Photograph: Pavlo Palamarchuk/Reuters

People walk past the archway of a cable motorcar station in Kyiv, Ukraine. Photograph: Chris McGrath/Getty Images

Updated at 2.23am GMT

ane.39am GMT 01:39

A pair of Ukraine'southward banking websites are back in operation post-obit a suspected cyberattack.

Websites for Oschadbank and Privatbank have resumed online operations, co-ordinate to a statement from Ukraine's data security agency. The statement reads:

"Starting from the afternoon of February xv, 2022, at that place is a powerful DDoS attack existence observed on a number of information resources of Ukraine. In particular, this caused interruptions in the work of web resource of Privatbank and Oschadbank.

The websites of the ministry of defense and the military machine of Ukraine were also attacked. Every bit of 19:30, the work of banking web resource has been resumed. A working group of experts from the national cybersecurity is taking all necessary measures to localize and resist the cyberattack."

The websites of Ukraine'due south defense force ministry and military were also impacted by a cyberattack on Tuesday, according to statements from Ukrainian government agencies.

one.11am GMT 01:11

As nosotros've been reporting, Us president Joe Biden gave an update on the state of affairs unfolding in Russia and Ukraine, alert that an invasion is "very much a possibility", but that a diplomatic resolution was still possible.

"If Russian federation proceeds, nosotros volition rally the world to oppose its aggression," Biden said in Washington, confirming that export controls and other actions non pursued during the 2014 Russia-Crimea invasion will take identify if Ukraine is invaded.

Here are the highlights of the oral communication:

Ukraine crisis: Biden warns Russian invasion 'still very much a possibility' - video

Updated at 1.13am GMT

1.07am GMT 01:07

Hello it'south Samantha Lock joining you on the blog equally my colleague Maanvi Singh signs off.

Here is a quick recap of the key developments over the past few hours:

• The states president Joe Biden warned that an invasion from Russia is "very much a possibility" but a diplomatic resolution was still possible. He too warned that despite reports from Russian federation that some of its troops were returning to home bases, analysis from the Us has not verified that and that Russian troops continue to remain in a threatening position.
• Ukraine'due south defense ministry and 2 banks were knocked offline on Tuesday. "It is not ruled out that the aggressor used tactics of little dirty tricks because its aggressive plans are not working out on a large calibration," the Ukrainian Centre for Strategic Communications and Data Security, which is part of the culture ministry, said in a statement.
• The White Business firm said it is enlightened of the cyberattacks and has offered its back up though clarified it has aught on attribution concerning the attacks, Us press secretarial assistant Jen Psaki told a printing briefing.
• The attacks probable affected Ukraine'due south war machine, free energy, and other cardinal systems according to recently declassified U.s. intelligence, the Washington Post reports.
• Boris Johnson said Russia was sending "mixed signals" over its intentions in Ukraine, despite the troop movement reports. "The intelligence nosotros are seeing is non encouraging," he said.
  
• The U.s. and European allies agreed that harsh sanctions against Russian federation would exist the most effective way to deter Putin as Biden proposed to halt Nord Stream 2, a Russian natural gas pipeline to Europe if Russia farther invades.
• Oil prices fell as much as 4% and stocks were in positive territory in Asia Pacific on Wed morn on hopes of a de-escalation of the standoff. However, Biden too warned that sanctions confronting Russia could cause further oil spikes.
• U.s.a. Senate majority leader Chuck Schumer and minority leader Mitch McConnell issued a articulation statement saying they wanted to send "a bipartisan message of solidarity and resolve to the people of Ukraine" as negotiations over a sanctions parcel against Russia stall.

Updated at 1.36am GMT

12.47am GMT 00:47

Kari Paul

Ukraine's defence ministry and two banks were knocked offline on Tuesday, raising suspicions that Russia is to blame as tensions between the countries continue to rise.

Ukraine has blamed Russia for similar attacks in the by, and has been on high alert for cyber-sabotage as fears of armed services action intensify.

"It is not ruled out that the aggressor used tactics of trivial dirty tricks considering its aggressive plans are not working out on a large scale," the Ukrainian Center for Strategic Communications and Information Security, which is part of the culture ministry, said in a argument.

The websites were reportedly overwhelmed using a distributed deprival-of-service (DDoS) assail in which assailants direct an influx of traffic to a gear up of servers to take them down.

The Ukrainian defense ministry tweeted that its website was apparently nether a cyberattack and information technology was working on restoring access to it, and a bulletin on its habitation page said it was under maintenance.

Oshadbank also confirmed the cyberattack, according to Reuters, proverb it resulted in the slowing down of some of its systems.

Allies to Ukraine accept been on high alarm for such an attack, as White House press secretary Jen Psaki said in that location were "a range of ways that we could respond – both seen and unseen – to a cyber attack or whatsoever other attack".

The attack on Tuesday appears to be small-scale in scale and non specially detrimental, all the same, said Rick Holland, chief information security officeholder at estimator security house Digital Shadows.

"[The attacks] could be a precursor to a significant attack or a component of a broader campaign to intimidate and confuse Ukraine," he said.

Updated at 1.26am GMT

11.54pm GMT 23:54

Analysis: Biden'due south voice communication sounded like a closing argument

Julian Borger

Joe Biden's speech sounded similar a closing statement, one that had been honed for some time and i that suggested expectations are still high in the White House that Russia will accept military action.

Biden briefly nodded to Moscow's claims to be withdrawing before abruptly contradicting them, raising the US estimate of the number of troops surrounding Ukraine to 150,000 in a "threatening position".

Information technology was the sort of speech ordinarily delivered on the eve of momentous action, commonly military activeness, to prepare expectations of the population. Biden addressed the American people directly, telling them he was not going to "pretend this will exist painless" and that they would feel information technology at the petrol pump. He promised his administration would exercise what it could to alleviate that.

The president also sought to speak over Putin'southward head to ordinary Russians, who accept heard little from their own media virtually the unprecedented deployments of their soldiers around Ukraine. Biden talked virtually their "deep ties of family unit history and civilisation" to the Ukrainians, and warned a state of war would encarmine the country'due south reputation in the history books. The earth, he said, would "not forget that Russia chose needless death and destruction".

He fabricated articulate that the US remained open for negotiations on mutual security concerns, saying they would pursue talks "as long as there is hope" for affairs, simply he stuck to the The states position at that place would no compromise on the central principle of the correct of Ukraine and other states to choose their alliances.

Earlier in the twenty-four hour period, the German chancellor, Olaf Scholz, had stressed that Ukrainian membership would not happen in the foreseeable future, but Biden did not repeat that conciliatory annotation. The US has already concluded that such verbal assurances will not be enough for Putin

Biden's terminal declaration, "If we do non stand up for freedom. where it is that risk today, nosotros'll surely pay a steeper price tomorrow" is likely to be greeted with grim mirth in Kyiv, in the wake of the Us embassy's evacuation and the retreat of American diplomats to the western end of the state. But the The states has kept up artillery supplies, and is reportedly making arrangements to keep the weapons flowing to an Ukrainian insurgency if it comes to that.

This administration is well aware that it has been portrayed as weak for the style in which it left Transitional islamic state of afghanistan.

Only Biden had long ago lost faith in the US mission there, whereas he believes wholeheartedly in Nato. He used the give-and-take "sacrosanct" to draw America'southward obligation to its allies. It was deliberately resonant language. Biden is clearly enlightened this could turn out to be a defining examination of his presidency.

Updated at i.39am GMT

11.31pm GMT 23:31

Michael McFaul, who served as US administrator to Russia from 2012 to 2014, is mixing metaphors and indicating that it's still unclear whether Russia is looking to plough toward or away from diplomacy at the moment.

Michael McFaul (@McFaul)

We are all looking for signs of Putin pivoting towards negotiations, not war, considering we all want to avoid war. Merely nosotros should be careful about cherry-picking the tea leaves. 1/ THREAD

Feb 15, 2022

10.55pm GMT 22:55

In a joint statement, Senate majority leader Chuck Schumer, minority leader Mitch McConnell and other senators from both parties said they wanted to transport "a bipartisan message of solidarity and resolve to the people of Ukraine".

They write:

Should Vladimir Putin farther escalate his ongoing assault on Ukraine'due south sovereignty, Russia must be made to pay a severe price. We are prepared to fully support the immediate imposition of strong, robust and effective sanctions on Russia, every bit well as tough restrictions and controls on exports to Russia, and nosotros will urge our allies and partners in Europe and effectually the globe to bring together usa.

In the face of Russian escalation confronting Ukraine, we will continue to support robust security, economic, and humanitarian assistance for the people of Ukraine. The United states and our partners should also move quickly to ensure that the Government of Ukraine receives sustained emergency assistance to defend against an illegal Russian invasion.

The statement comes as bipartisan negotiations over a sanctions packet has stalled. Republicans have introduced their ain package, which would impose immediate sanctions on Russian oligarchs and members of Vladimir Putin's inner circumvolve, regardless of whether Russia invades Ukraine.

The bill would likewise mandate sanctions on the Nord Stream ii pipeline if Russian federation invades, and authorize more security funding for Ukraine, and create a lend-lease program.

Senate Strange Relations chair Bob Menendez said the Republican bill amounted to "partisan posturing" and that the "latest proposal past Republicans is largely a reflection of what Democrats had already agreed to".

Updated at 11.00pm GMT

10.30pm GMT 22:30

In his update today, Biden emphasized that a Russian invasion of Ukraine would affect Americans and European allies.

"I will not pretend this will be painless," he said, noting that economic sanctions against Russia could cause oil prices to rise even as the Us copes with broader aggrandizement.

Only the president said that the US and European allies agreed that harsh sanctions confronting Russian federation would be the most effective way to deter Putin. He proposed to halt Nord Stream 2, a Russian natural gas pipeline to Europe if Russia further invades.

"When it comes to Nord Stream 2 pipeline that would bring natural gas from Russian federation to Germany if Russian federation further invades Ukraine, information technology volition not happen," he said

Updated at 10.58pm GMT

9.56pm GMT 21:56

Cyberattacks on Ukraine reported today likely affected Ukraine's armed services, energy, and other key systems according to recently declassified US intelligence, reports the Washington Mail.

Russian authorities hackers have likely broadly penetrated Ukrainian war machine, free energy and other critical computer networks to collect intelligence and position themselves potentially to disrupt those systems should Russia launch a military assault on Ukraine, according to newly declassified United states of america intelligence.

Moscow could seek to disrupt Ukrainian entities that provide disquisitional services such as electricity, transportation, finance and telecommunications – either to support military operations or to sow panic in an endeavor to destabilize the land, according to a senior administration official who described the intelligence.

The United states government has adamant merely that Russia could undertake disruptive cyber-activity, not that it will, said the official, who similar several others spoke on the condition of anonymity because of the matter's sensitivity. "We don't know that they have intention to do so," the official said. "Just we have been working with Ukraine to strengthen their cyberdefenses."

A Kremlin spokesman did not respond to a asking for comment.

Read full commodity here (paywall).

Updated at ten.57pm GMT

9.35pm GMT 21:35

During today's White House printing conference, the White House said that it has zip on attribution apropos cyberattacks in Ukraine.

"I don't accept anything on attribution at this fourth dimension," said US press secretarial assistant Jen Psaki during today's printing briefing.

Nicole Sganga (@NicoleSganga)

"I don't have anything on attribution at this time," @PressSec says of today'southward DDoS cyber attack.

"What I can say is that nosotros have been in bear on with the Ukrainians, our allies and partners, working with them to deter and respond to malicious cyber activity." picture.twitter.com/gVs4QlGFh5

February fifteen, 2022

"What I tin can say is that nosotros have been in touch on with the Ukrainians, our allies and partners, working with them to deter and respond to malicious cyber activity," said Psaki.

9.16pm GMT 21:16

Reactions to Biden's speech on the Russia-Ukraine situation have started to come in every bit experts share their thoughts on Biden'due south remarks.

Here'southward Dr. Jeffrey Lewis of the Middlebury Institute of International studies on Biden'due south speech, with Lewis tweeting:

That speech by Biden was the one POTUS gives if he notwithstanding expects an invasion. I was quite struck past how much expectation setting Biden did.

Dr. Jeffrey Lewis (@ArmsControlWonk)

That speech communication by Biden was the one POTUS gives if he still expects an invasion. I was quite struck by how much expectation setting Biden did.

February fifteen, 2022

Ben Rhodes, Quondam Deputy National Security Advisor of the United States, also shared his thoughts on Twitter, writing:

Biden did not seem optimistic about the latest Russian overtures - remained focused on alert of invasion, detailing consequences for Russia (and the world), not giving an inch on the core NATO issues that Putin has been focused on.

Ben Rhodes (@brhodes)

Biden did not seem optimistic about the latest Russian overtures - remained focused on alarm of invasion, detailing consequences for Russia (and the globe), not giving an inch on the core NATO issues that Putin has been focused on.

February fifteen, 2022

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